Lorient vs Grenoble analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
LOR
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
LMU
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 2
MPL
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grenoble
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 4
REN
24%
29%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GIR
1 - 0
GRE
75%
18%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 0
GRE
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
LEN
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
USB
2 - 1
GRE
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |