Lorient vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
GIR
3 - 2
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 3
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 2
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 3
BAS
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |