Lorient II vs Vitré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VCH
1 - 1
LOR
21%
24%
54%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 1
BER
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
LOR
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
VOL
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
NAN
0 - 2
LOR
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 4
VIT
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
GDB
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
PLA
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
VCH
1 - 0
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |