Lorient II vs Saint-Malo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LOR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 2
ROM
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FON
1 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
PLA
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GDB
1 - 1
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Malo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 0
LEM
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
SAI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAI
4 - 0
VCH
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 2
SAI
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 0
LES
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |