Lorient II vs Carquefou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 2
LOR
41%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 1
CHE
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
5 - 1
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VCH
1 - 2
LOR
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
MOU
30%
26%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
FON
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VCH
0 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
MOU
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 4
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
LPS
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |