Lorentzweiler vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 4
LOR
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
FEU
2 - 2
LOR
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 2
BBM
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MLI
2 - 0
LOR
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
KEH
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 1
BBM
19%
22%
60%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
MLI
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
WIN
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |