Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Lorca Deportiva vs Haro Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
LOR
4 - 0
CAL
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 4
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 4
YEC
76%
15%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LUM
0 - 3
LOR
10%
20%
70%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 0
MAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Haro Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 0
CEN
86%
11%
3%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
OYO
2 - 0
HAR
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 0
ARN
79%
14%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CLH
1 - 0
HAR
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 3
ANG
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |