Lorca CF vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
LOR
0 - 0
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1998 |
MER
4 - 1
LOR
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
CCF
1 - 1
LOR
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
LOR
4 - 1
MEL
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
MAN
0 - 0
LOR
54%
26%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
ICR
1 - 4
MAL
32%
29%
40%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
MAL
3 - 3
POL
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
SEV
1 - 0
MAL
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
MAL
1 - 1
UDS
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
MOT
3 - 4
MAL
23%
30%
47%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |