Lootus vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lootus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
LOT
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
LOT
4 - 0
TAM
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +4 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RAK
1 - 0
LOT
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 2
KIV
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
FLO
4 - 0
LOT
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
LEV
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 2
VOR
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 4
TAM
50%
22%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
KIV
6 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TIN
4 - 0
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |