Longwood vs Radford University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
43%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 1
LGW
86%
9%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
HPT
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
LGW
3 - 2
WTR
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SCU
1 - 1
LGW
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
HPT
5 - 1
LGW
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Radford University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
PST
1 - 2
RFU
22%
20%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RFU
0 - 6
SCU
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NCA
1 - 2
RFU
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
RFU
1 - 3
CFC
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
RFU
0 - 1
PST
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |