Longlier vs Mormont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SIB
1 - 1
LON
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
WAR
6 - 3
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LON
4 - 3
LOY
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 5
LON
63%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LON
1 - 2
JEU
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
EBE
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
LIB
72%
15%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VAU
1 - 2
MOR
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
WEL
74%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EBE
1 - 1
MOR
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |