First Division . Jor. 12

Longford Town vs Wexford Youths analysis

Longford Town Wexford Youths
45 ELO 55
1.4% Tilt -2.1%
4273º General ELO ranking 2973º
21º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
24.6%
Longford Town
25.2%
Draw
50.2%
Wexford Youths

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
Longford Town
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.2%
Win probability
Wexford Youths
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Longford Town
-37%
-5%
Wexford Youths

Points and table prediction

Longford Town
Their league position
Wexford Youths
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
25
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cork City
38
78
92%
Wexford Youths
25
60
33.5%
UC Dublin
28
57
25%
Athlone Town
26
57
15%
Cobh Ramblers
18
52
21.5%
Finn Harps
25
51
20%
Bray Wanderers
21
47
28.5%
Treaty United
14
40
48%
Longford Town
11
30
64.5%
Kerry FC
10º
9
21
10º
86%
Expected probabilities
Longford Town
Wexford Youths
Promotion
0% 4%
Promotion play-offs
0.5% 84.5%
Mid-table
99.5% 11.5%

ELO progression

Longford Town
Wexford Youths
Cobh Ramblers
Treaty United
Finn Harps
Bray Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Longford Town
Longford Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
LON
Longford Town
1 - 4
Cork City
CAO
16%
25%
60%
45 62 17 0
16 Apr. 2024
WEX
Wexford Youths
2 - 2
Longford Town
LON
71%
18%
11%
45 56 11 0
13 Apr. 2024
LON
Longford Town
0 - 3
Bray Wanderers
BRW
36%
25%
38%
46 49 3 -1
05 Apr. 2024
KEF
Kerry FC
3 - 0
Longford Town
LON
14%
21%
66%
49 12 37 -3
01 Apr. 2024
COB
Cobh Ramblers
1 - 1
Longford Town
LON
61%
22%
18%
48 55 7 +1

Matches

Wexford Youths
Wexford Youths
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2024
WEX
Wexford Youths
2 - 3
UC Dublin
UCD
62%
20%
18%
56 47 9 0
16 Apr. 2024
WEX
Wexford Youths
2 - 2
Longford Town
LON
71%
18%
11%
56 45 11 0
12 Apr. 2024
COB
Cobh Ramblers
2 - 4
Wexford Youths
WEX
46%
25%
29%
55 54 1 +1
05 Apr. 2024
WEX
Wexford Youths
3 - 2
Treaty United
TRE
51%
24%
25%
54 53 1 +1
01 Apr. 2024
WEX
Wexford Youths
1 - 1
Cork City
CAO
31%
27%
42%
53 61 8 +1
X