Longford Town vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
10º
9º
39
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 76 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 57 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 56 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 56 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 52 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 51 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 50 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 40 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 31 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 22 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 91.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LON
2 - 3
FIN
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 0
LON
8%
17%
76%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
GAL
11%
17%
73%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
LON
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
SHR
11%
21%
69%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
UCD
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
CAO
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
KEF
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
CAO
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 0
CAO
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |