Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
10º
9º
53
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 81 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 64 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 57 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 39 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 37 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
9º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 22 |
10º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
LON
0 - 6
GAL
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 1
LON
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
DRO
3 - 0
LON
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LON
1 - 0
SHE
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 2
LON
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
WAT
1 - 1
BRW
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SHE
2 - 2
BRW
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
STP
2 - 1
BRW
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DRO
2 - 2
BRW
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
SPC
0 - 4
BRW
9%
15%
76%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | 0 |