Londrina vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
24.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
LON
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
MAD
43%
29%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
LON
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 1
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 2
GUA
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
BRA
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
MAD
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |