Série A . Semi-finals
Global 4-6
Londrina vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
VAS
0 - 2
LON
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
LON
1 - 0
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 2
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
LON
1 - 0
FLA
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
LON
2 - 0
CAX
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 0
BAH
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ATM
6 - 0
ARN
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BOT
0 - 0
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
FAS
1 - 2
ATM
7%
15%
78%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 1
CRZ
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |