Hamilton City vs Montreal Impact II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
4 - 1
LON
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
LON
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 2
LON
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
LON
2 - 4
MIS
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
LON
1 - 2
SCW
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Montreal Impact II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
LON
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
MON
7 - 2
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
SHO
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |