KFC Lommel vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Lommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SDL
1 - 0
LOM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
LOM
3 - 1
GNK
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
LIE
1 - 4
LOM
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
LOM
3 - 1
MOL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
LOM
5 - 2
ANT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
MET
4 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 0
EEA
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
AND
1 - 2
EXC
76%
15%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 2
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 1
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |