1. HNL Round 36

Lokomotiva vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis

Lokomotiva HNK Hajduk Split
81 ELO 85
6.5% Tilt -0.4%
655º General ELO ranking 279º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.3%
Lokomotiva
25.5%
Draw
33.2%
HNK Hajduk Split

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
Lokomotiva
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
HNK Hajduk Split
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiva
-7%
-2%
HNK Hajduk Split

Points and table prediction

Lokomotiva
Their league position
HNK Hajduk Split
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dinamo Zagreb
82
82
100%
HNK Rijeka
74
74
100%
HNK Hajduk Split
68
68
100%
NK Osijek
57
57
100%
Lokomotiva
51
51
100%
NK Varazdin
42
42
100%
HNK Gorica
41
41
100%
NK Istra 1961
41
41
100%
NK Slaven Belupo
33
33
100%
NK Rudes
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lokomotiva
HNK Hajduk Split
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lokomotiva
HNK Hajduk Split
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiva
Lokomotiva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2024
RUD
NK Rudes
3 - 3
Lokomotiva
LOK
11%
22%
67%
81 56 25 0
12 May. 2024
LOK
Lokomotiva
2 - 1
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
64%
21%
15%
81 72 9 0
04 May. 2024
OSI
NK Osijek
3 - 1
Lokomotiva
LOK
44%
27%
29%
81 84 3 0
28 Apr. 2024
LOK
Lokomotiva
3 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
37%
26%
37%
81 84 3 0
21 Apr. 2024
LOK
Lokomotiva
0 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
39%
25%
36%
81 84 3 0

Matches

HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2024
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 1
HNK Gorica
HNG
68%
20%
13%
84 75 9 0
12 May. 2024
IST
NK Istra 1961
1 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
24%
27%
49%
84 75 9 0
05 May. 2024
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
0 - 1
NK Varazdin
NKV
68%
20%
13%
84 75 9 0
27 Apr. 2024
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
5 - 1
NK Rudes
RUD
85%
12%
3%
84 57 27 0
20 Apr. 2024
SLA
NK Slaven Belupo
0 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
21%
25%
54%
84 71 13 0