Lokomotiv Ruse vs Svetkavitsa Targovishte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
16º
14º
19
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 67 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 57 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 56 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 54 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
62% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
LOR
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 1
LOR
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 3
CHE
5%
15%
81%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FKR
3 - 1
LOR
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 0
SGT
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 4
FSV
52%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 0
SVE
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 3
CMV
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
SVE
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 0
FKR
56%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |