Lokomotiv Ruse vs Ludogorets III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
82.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
11º
14º
13º
54
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEP
5 - 1
LOR
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SVE
3 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
DOR
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 3
FSV
8%
14%
77%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SEP
3 - 0
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
0 - 1
SVE
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 4
LUD
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 4
DUN
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUD
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LUD
4 - 0
SHU
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |