Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
LNN
1 - 1
AKT
78%
16%
6%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
SST
4 - 1
LNN
47%
26%
28%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
SNN
1 - 0
LNN
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
DIN
6 - 0
LNN
61%
23%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
LNN
0 - 3
URA
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
DIN
1 - 3
LAD
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
LAD
2 - 0
URL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
LAD
2 - 2
URA
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
RUB
1 - 4
LAD
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2004 |
VOL
1 - 0
LAD
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |