Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LOK
1 - 0
CSK
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
YAR
3 - 0
LOK
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SAT
1 - 2
LOK
34%
28%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
LOK
0 - 1
FKM
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FCR
0 - 0
LOK
30%
28%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ZEN
1 - 0
YAR
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
YAR
3 - 0
LOK
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 0
DIN
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
YAR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 1
ALA
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |