Europa League Playoffs. Last 16
Global 1-8
Lokomotiv Moskva vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
URA
0 - 2
LOK
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 0
LOK
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LOK
0 - 0
SPA
40%
25%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 0
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 3
LOK
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 0
CEL
61%
23%
16%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 0
LOK
65%
22%
13%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATM
81%
12%
7%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ATM
4 - 0
LEG
78%
17%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 5
ATM
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |