Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
2º
10º
2º
60
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
4 - 0
BTL
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 5
LOK
11%
19%
71%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
4 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VIH
1 - 1
LOK
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 0
SEV
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
4 - 0
ASV
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SEV
0 - 1
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 0
FKD
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
LOK
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
3 - 0
YPT
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |