Loja vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
LOJ
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LOJ
3 - 1
UDS
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MOL
2 - 2
LOJ
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LOJ
7 - 1
UDM
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HUE
2 - 4
LOJ
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
RON
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
VEL
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
4 - 0
HUE
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |