Loja vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 1
LOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 0
ROD
32%
28%
40%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 0
LOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 2
CAR
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 3
LOJ
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
RJA
46%
29%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 1
ECI
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 0
RJA
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RJA
0 - 0
CPC
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |