Loja vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATA
2 - 0
LOJ
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LOJ
4 - 2
RON
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 1
LOJ
21%
23%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UDS
2 - 2
LOJ
23%
24%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
HUE
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 4
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATA
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RON
3 - 2
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ANT
6 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
UDS
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |