Lobos ULMX vs Sporting Canamy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
8º
9
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 1
IRA
6%
15%
80%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 0
LUL
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
28%
22%
49%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 3
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
LUL
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Canamy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
5 - 1
PDS
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
3 - 2
CAN
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 1
HDZ
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
COL
2 - 1
CAN
29%
23%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
ZAC
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |