Lobos Prepa vs Nuevo Chimalhuacán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos Prepa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
LOB
3 - 0
CDT
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
LOB
2 - 1
JVV
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LOB
3 - 2
YFC
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CUA
1 - 1
LOB
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 2
PAT
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
CUA
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
PAT
35%
24%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
YFC
0 - 0
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
CDT
32%
24%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JVV
1 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |