Lobos BUAP vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 3
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 2
LOB
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
LOB
0 - 1
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
UDG
3 - 3
LOB
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ORI
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
PUM
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VER
2 - 1
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |