Lobos BUAP vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 0
LOB
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
LOB
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 0
UAT
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
LOB
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
PUM
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
REB
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |