Llanrhaeadr FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanrhaeadr FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 2
RHY
9%
15%
76%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 2
LLA
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
LLA
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 2
GUI
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 2
LLA
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MYP
5 - 0
CEF
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CEF
0 - 0
MYP
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
6%
15%
79%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
CEF
1 - 2
PEN
88%
9%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 2
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |