Llanfair United vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanfair United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COL
4 - 2
LLA
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 3
RHY
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
LLA
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 2
COR
47%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
GUI
6 - 1
LLA
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
RTW
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
CON
33%
23%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
CON
0 - 7
PRE
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
BAN
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |