Llaneros vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 0
LLA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
MIL
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 0
LLA
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 1
LLA
32%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
REA
2 - 2
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
REA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
REA
1 - 0
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
QUI
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |