Llaneros vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
LLA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
LLA
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 1
QUI
34%
25%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
LLA
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 0
LLA
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 0
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 2
QUI
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
41%
25%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |