FAW Championship Sur. Jor. 5

Llanelli Town AFC vs Ynyshir Albions analysis

Llanelli Town AFC Ynyshir Albions
33 ELO 26
-0.8% Tilt 16.8%
4173º General ELO ranking 43259º
23º Country ELO ranking 206º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Llanelli Town AFC
18.1%
Draw
18%
Ynyshir Albions

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
Llanelli Town AFC
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18%
Win probability
Ynyshir Albions
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Llanelli Town AFC
Their league position
Ynyshir Albions
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
24
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barry Town
78
78
100%
Briton Ferry
60
60
0%
Llanelli Town AFC
60
60
0%
Carmarthen Town
52
52
100%
Afan Lido
47
47
100%
Cambrian & Clydach
47
47
100%
Llantwit Major
45
45
100%
Cwmbran Celtic
38
38
100%
Pontardawe Town
35
35
100%
Taffs Well
10º
33
33
10º
0%
Ammanford AFC
11º
33
33
11º
0%
Goytre United
12º
32
32
12º
0%
Abergavenny Town
13º
32
32
13º
0%
Trefelin
14º
28
28
14º
100%
Swansea University
15º
26
26
15º
100%
Ynyshir Albions
16º
24
24
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Llanelli Town AFC
Ynyshir Albions
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Llanelli Town AFC
Ynyshir Albions
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2022
BRI
Briton Ferry
1 - 1
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
74%
16%
10%
32 44 12 0
12 Aug. 2022
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
1 - 1
Ammanford AFC
AAF
50%
21%
29%
32 33 1 0
02 Aug. 2022
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
1 - 0
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
56%
21%
23%
32 28 4 0
29 Jul. 2022
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
3 - 1
Afan Lido
LID
48%
22%
31%
31 30 1 +1
22 Jul. 2022
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
1 - 2
Abergavenny Town
ABE
50%
21%
29%
32 28 4 -1

Matches

Ynyshir Albions
Ynyshir Albions
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
YAF
Ynyshir Albions
0 - 1
Abergavenny Town
ABE
43%
22%
36%
27 30 3 0
13 Aug. 2022
YAF
Ynyshir Albions
0 - 2
Pontardawe Town
PON
47%
22%
32%
29 31 2 -2
02 Aug. 2022
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 2
Ynyshir Albions
YAF
58%
19%
23%
29 32 3 0
31 Jul. 2022
BRI
Briton Ferry
2 - 0
Ynyshir Albions
YAF
76%
15%
9%
30 42 12 -1
22 Jul. 2022
TAF
Taffs Well
4 - 1
Ynyshir Albions
YAF
66%
18%
15%
31 42 11 -1
X