Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 4-5
Llanelli AFC vs FK Tauras Taurage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PRE
1 - 5
LLA
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
LLA
3 - 1
RHY
60%
21%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 1
NEA
81%
13%
7%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 1
WEL
88%
9%
4%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 1
HAV
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tauras Taurage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 1
FKT
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
FKT
14%
20%
66%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
FKT
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ZAL
1 - 0
FKT
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
FKT
4 - 0
KRU
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |