Llanelli AFC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ABE
4 - 1
LLA
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LLA
3 - 0
AIR
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CWM
0 - 1
LLA
31%
24%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 0
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
72%
17%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 2
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 3
CEF
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 5
RHY
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
RHY
1 - 1
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CEF
7 - 0
GRA
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |