Livorno vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
PAR
4 - 1
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 2
LAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 0
LIV
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LIV
3 - 1
CAT
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
USC
2 - 1
ATL
64%
19%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VAR
5 - 1
USC
34%
26%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
USC
1 - 0
COM
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 3
USC
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
USC
5 - 1
ASF
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |