Livorno vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
64.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
LIV
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 1
CAG
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
REG
1 - 1
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
LIV
0 - 0
INT
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
LIV
2 - 0
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SAM
0 - 1
JUV
18%
24%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 1
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 2
JUV
38%
26%
37%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |