Livorno vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
LAZ
4 - 1
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
LIV
3 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
INT
1 - 0
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1948 |
VIC
0 - 3
GEN
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
GEN
4 - 1
PRO
69%
16%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 1
INT
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
SAM
1 - 1
GEN
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |