Serie B Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
Livorno vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
EMP
4 - 1
NOV
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
EMP
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
EMP
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 0
CTT
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |