Livorno vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SIE
0 - 0
LIV
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 1
PIS
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ABN
2 - 1
LIV
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIV
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACL
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
LEC
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |