Livingston vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ROS
2 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
QUE
3 - 2
LIV
28%
24%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 0
THE
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
LIV
2 - 0
ALB
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 5
LIV
25%
26%
50%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
THE
1 - 2
ALL
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
ALL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ALL
0 - 2
CWB
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CWB
1 - 1
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 1
CWB
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |