Liverpool vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
2.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
10%
16%
75%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LIV
4 - 1
LUT
86%
10%
4%
|
100 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 4
LIV
10%
18%
72%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LIV
3 - 1
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
100 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
29%
23%
48%
|
100 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 2
MIL
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 2
HUL
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
WBA
0 - 2
SOU
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
SOU
26%
25%
50%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
5 - 3
HUR
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |