Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 0
LIV
43%
23%
33%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CHL
1 - 1
LIV
35%
24%
41%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 2
CHL
59%
22%
20%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 2
PSG
41%
24%
36%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
HOF
1 - 2
MAC
23%
23%
54%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
BHA
89%
9%
3%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 3
MAC
6%
15%
79%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 5
MAC
6%
14%
80%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
LYO
71%
17%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |