Premier League Round 3

Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis

Liverpool Arsenal
87 ELO 89
-2.6% Tilt 6%
12º General ELO ranking 16º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.5%
Liverpool
26.4%
Draw
25.1%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
Liverpool
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.1%
Win probability
Arsenal
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liverpool
-3%
+2%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Liverpool
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 1992
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
63%
21%
16%
87 81 6 0
16 Aug. 1992
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
45%
25%
30%
87 86 1 0
08 Aug. 1992
LEE
Leeds United
4 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
52%
24%
24%
88 86 2 -1
09 May. 1992
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
71%
18%
11%
87 69 18 +1
02 May. 1992
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
37%
26%
37%
87 84 3 0

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 1992
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 0
Arsenal
ARS
21%
28%
51%
89 69 20 0
15 Aug. 1992
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 4
Norwich City
NOR
76%
16%
8%
89 81 8 0
02 May. 1992
ARS
Arsenal
5 - 1
Southampton
SOU
70%
18%
12%
89 82 7 0
25 Apr. 1992
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
31%
28%
41%
89 80 9 0
20 Apr. 1992
ARS
Arsenal
4 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
55%
23%
22%
88 87 1 +1