Lithuania U21 vs Italia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
69.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
LTU
1 - 0
ROU
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
3%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
HUN
4 - 1
LTU
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
0 - 1
HUN
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
2 - 1
GEO
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 1
YUG
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2001 |
GEO
0 - 2
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
ITA
2 - 0
BLR
84%
11%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
ROU
0 - 1
ITA
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |