Lisburn Distillery vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 3
GLE
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 4
GLE
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
ZES
6 - 0
LIS
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 5
ZES
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 1
INS
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
GLE
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |